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At present, the technology of domestic brand new energy has realized the curve overtakingThe new energy market is growing rapidly. In August 2022, the wholesale number of passenger car market, new energy models 630,000, a year-on-year growth of 104%, a month-on-month growth of 12%. The wholesale volume of fuel vehicles in the same period was 1.47 million, up 21% year on year and down 6.7% month on month. The market share of new energy models reached a new high of 30%, and the wholesale sales, whether year-on-year or month-on-month, grew far ahead of fuel cars. Behind the doubling of the market share of new energy models, the car companies are indeed a few happy and a few sad. Because the growth of new energy market share is not balanced for independent brands and joint venture brands. In August, the independent brand new energy wholesale sales of 502,000 vehicles, accounting for 80%, occupying an absolute dominant position in the market, and this advantage is not only in August this year. If we look at the sales data of new energy in the past three years, the average market share of independent brands is 79%, and they are in an absolute dominant position in the market. In the new energy era, the market pattern of the original fuel vehicle era has been completely overturned, and the transformation from the absolute dominance of joint venture brands to the absolute dominance of independent brands has been completed. In the new energy track, from the perspective of wholesale sales, the independent brand not only overtakes the car, but also rides the dust, and the joint venture brand has been unable to match it. Behind the magnificent transformation of the market pattern is the Chinese government's strong support for the development of new energy. From special financial subsidies to the exemption of purchase tax, from the launch of the double points policy to the special license plate for new energy, macro-control has gradually transformed China's new energy market from policy-oriented to market-oriented. After more than ten years of accumulation, new energy vehicles burst out today. If we take a look at the market share of new energy models in the past three years, we can find that it has doubled every year from 6% in 2020 and 16% in 2021 to 30% now. Government support for new energy into a lot of resources, two major changes brought their own brands, to summarize is now independent brand two advantages: the main electrical technology route of product price advantage is the two big advantages contributed to their own brands in the reversal of traditional joint brand new energy markets, then we respectively introduce the two advantages. The first advantage: main power technical route advantage. Before talking about the advantages of the main power technology route of the independent brand, we first take a look at the rapid growth of the new energy market, the structure of the new energy market is quietly changing. As can be seen from the data, pure electric is still the mainstream of the current new energy market. Moreover, Chinese brand battery, motor, electric control technology and pure electric model supply chain system are also far ahead in the world. But the rapid growth of plug-in hybrids reflects a problem that pure electric has not solved the age-old problem of range anxiety. The slow construction of public charging infrastructure has exacerbated this anxiety. The news of charging the service area for one hour and queuing for four hours in holidays is endless. In Shunyi District of Beijing, new energy owners even queue up at 4 am to charge their cars, because they can't get in line if they go late. So after years of development, the new energy market is becoming more mature, and consumers' choices are becoming more rational. Mature consumers are increasingly starting from their own needs, and plug-in hybrid models with zero anxiety of battery life are increasingly favored. This is the reason why the proportion of plug-in hybrid models has increased significantly. In the hybrid market, Toyota and Honda have a first-mover advantage. Toyota started the research and development of hybrid power as early as 1969 and registered a large number of patents, especially for core technologies such as planetary gear, which directly established the patent technical barrier of THS strong hybrid. The later entrants had to bypass Toyota's patent barrier through other technical routes. Honda also has a long history of hybrid development, more than 25 years. The fourth generation i-MMD was introduced this year. Different from the previous generations, the fourth generation adopts the idea of double motors and innovatively designs a set of multi-parallel shaft comprehensive transmission device to solve the pain points of the previous generations of single motors. However, despite their first-mover advantage, Toyota and Honda are now surrounded by their own brands in the Chinese market, where they have been deeply entrenched. The independent brands represented by Great Wall Intelligent DHT, Chery Kunpeng Hybrid, Geely Raytheon Hybrid, Chang 'an Blue Whale Hybrid, and BYD DM-i are all internationally leading in technology. Toyota THS, Honda i-MMD, Great Wall Intelligent DHT, Chery Kunpeng, Geely Raygod, Changan Blue Whale, and BYD DM-i have a total of 7 kinds, which are dazzling just by looking at the names, not to mention that each family has its own promotion of 3 gears, 9 gears, 11 modes, planetary gears, double planetary gears and other advanced technologies. So as an average consumer, how do you decide which one is better? Today I'll give you the simplest way, which is to see whether the power is dominant or the fuel is dominant. Plug-in hybrid models That's a result, but the starting point for getting there is different. Some brands are based on fuel as the starting point, increase the power system to achieve low fuel consumption; Some brands are based on electricity as a starting point, adding fuel systems to increase endurance and power. Although the two lead in the same direction, the actual experience is very different.
The vehicle is equipped with a generator, which can be driven by the engine to generate electricity for use by the vehicle. At this time, waiting for the car to go far depends on how big the tank is, pure electric model range anxiety is solved. In fact, this technology is not new. In December 1900, Ferdinand Porsche showed off his Lohner Porsche, which had an extended range powertrain. Extender solves the range anxiety problem of pure electric, but its disadvantages are also obvious. The mechanical energy of the engine is converted into electrical energy, which is converted into mechanical energy again, and with each conversion comes a loss of energy. Although the engine could be kept at its most efficient RPM to generate electricity, it could theoretically be more fuel efficient. But the real car test effect, with pure fuel car fuel consumption is basically equivalent. The engine carried by the extended-range model increases the load, but the engine only generates electricity and does not participate in providing power. When strong power output is needed, it can only rely on the motor, and the load of the engine at this time has become the burden of acceleration. In other words, consumers can experience the strong power and excellent NVH effect of pure electric models, but they cannot enjoy the low energy consumption of pure electric models. If a tram uses 10 fuel per 100 km, why not just burn it? The long-desired solution to the pain points of the first generation extenders is simple. Second generation: Great Wall's smart DHT technology and BYD's DM-i, representing models Latte DHT-PHEV and BYD Song PLUS.
The second advantage: price advantage of self-owned brands The advantage of self-owned brands in China is that they can buy models with higher configuration and technology content at the same price. In the same price, the power performance, battery power and quality assurance, pure electric range and intelligent driving configuration of Chinese self-owned brand models are better than those of the same level. Due to space limitation, the self-owned brand only takes Latte DHT-PHEV as an example to compare the plug-in hybrid models of two mainstream joint venture brands from the three dimensions of power performance, battery and intelligent driving to show the price advantages of the self-owned brand products.
The best of these features is backtracking, which records the last 50 meters of travel. After putting into reverse gear, the system automatically controls the steering wheel, brake and gas pedal, and automatically follows the original recorded route back. Good news for drivers with poor backing skills. Very friendly for backing up on narrow roads. Write in the last new energy era wave, the horn of the rise of independent brands has sounded. China's own brand main power technology route and product price two advantages highlighted, the future can be expected. The door to the ecological remodeling of the automobile industry has been opened. Let us witness the rise and fall of each brand in this era. |